Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Latest Ratings

Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2017-10-14:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Alabama0.70947700.56420
2Penn State0.69298600.53947
3Central Florida0.69289500.53933
4TCU0.68364600.52546
5Miami (FL)0.68256500.52383
6Georgia0.68202700.52302
7Wisconsin0.66771600.50156
8USC0.66588610.57024
9Michigan State0.65803510.57038
10Michigan0.65747510.56954
11Clemson0.65664610.55638
12North Carolina State0.64035610.53196
13Memphis0.63792510.54021
14Navy0.63767510.53984
15Notre Dame0.63653510.53812
16San Diego State0.63619610.52572
17Washington State0.63447610.52313
18Ohio State0.63280610.52062
19Iowa0.63144420.61382
20Stanford0.62378520.57852
21Oklahoma State0.61429510.50477
22Washington0.61418610.49270
23Kentucky0.61340510.50343
24South Carolina0.61301520.56237
25Virginia Tech0.61161510.50075
26South Florida0.60965600.41447
27Oklahoma0.60682510.49356
28Texas A&M0.60666520.55284
29Boise State0.60083420.56790
30Virginia0.59992510.48322
31Toledo0.59751510.47960
32Wake Forest0.58725420.54755
33Louisiana State0.58717520.52361
34North Texas0.58296420.54111
35Mississippi State0.57998420.53663
36Southern Methodist0.57988420.53648
37Florida State0.57769230.66653
38Marshall0.57216510.44157
39Auburn0.57146520.50005
40West Virginia0.57011420.52183
41Texas Tech0.56759420.51806
42Western Michigan0.56607420.51577
43Iowa State0.56412420.51285
44Florida0.56357330.59536
45Oregon0.56207430.55739
46Arizona State0.56148330.59221
47Houston0.56061420.50759
48California0.55861430.55219
49Northern Illinois0.55722420.50249
50Utah0.55604420.50073
51UCLA0.55111330.57666
52Colorado State0.55104520.46941
53Troy0.55089420.49300
54Fresno State0.55023420.49201
55Syracuse0.54636430.53382
56Arizona0.54300420.48117
57Southern Miss0.54296420.48111
58Louisville0.54203430.52733
59Boston College0.53975340.59534
60Army0.53819520.45014
61Appalachian State0.53805420.47374
62Maryland0.53752330.55628
63Indiana0.53737330.55605
64Wyoming0.53440420.46827
65Purdue0.53292330.54939
66Duke0.53035430.50982
67Georgia Tech0.52822320.49233
68Texas0.52817330.54226
69Northwestern0.52605330.53908
70Mississippi0.52512330.53768
71Florida Int'l0.52490420.45402
72Alabama-Birmingham0.52283420.45091
73Minnesota0.52011330.53016
74Colorado0.51951430.49355
75Tulane0.51920330.52880
76Vanderbilt0.51289340.55505
77Nebraska0.51108340.55233
78Arkansas0.50735240.59436
79Tennessee0.50699330.51049
80Florida Atlantic0.50263330.50395
81Akron0.50190330.50285
82Louisiana Tech0.50185330.50277
83Ohio0.49793520.38975
84Texas-San Antonio0.49359320.44039
85New Mexico0.49269330.48904
86Georgia State0.49079320.43619
87Louisiana-Monroe0.48507330.47761
88Western Kentucky0.48151420.38894
89Arkansas State0.47550320.41325
90Cincinnati0.47498250.56961
91Utah State0.47497340.49817
92Middle Tennessee0.47461340.49763
93Buffalo0.47434340.49723
94Kansas State0.47369330.46054
95Tulsa0.47041250.56276
96Air Force0.46789240.53517
97Louisiana-Lafayette0.46598330.44897
98Connecticut0.46199240.52631
99Pittsburgh0.46180250.54984
100Illinois0.46113240.52503
101Central Michigan0.45940340.47481
102Rutgers0.45760240.51973
103Temple0.45523340.46856
104New Mexico State0.45516340.46845
105Missouri0.44801150.58868
106South Alabama0.44638240.50291
107Eastern Michigan0.44459240.50022
108Kent State0.43645250.51182
109UNLV0.43584240.48709
110Ball State0.43228240.48175
111Brigham Young0.42654160.56838
112Hawaii0.42574340.42432
113Oregon State0.42518160.56633
114Idaho0.42012240.46351
115East Carolina0.41391160.54943
116North Carolina0.41204160.54663
117Miami (OH)0.41146250.47434
118Old Dominion0.41136240.45037
119Nevada0.40034160.52908
120Kansas0.39536150.50971
121Rice0.39417150.50792
122Bowling Green0.37405160.48964
123Texas St-San Marcos0.37146160.48576
124San José State0.36927170.49141
125Coastal Carolina0.33806150.42376
126Baylor0.33709060.50564
127UTEP0.33335070.50002
128Georgia Southern0.31542050.47313
129UNC-Charlotte0.31529070.47294
130Massachusetts0.28084060.42125

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.