Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Latest Ratings

Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2017-9-23:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Michigan0.74896400.62344
2Central Florida0.73241200.59861
3Georgia0.71493400.57240
4USC0.71366400.57049
5Navy0.70556300.55833
6Clemson0.70174400.55260
7Alabama0.70139400.55208
8Texas Tech0.69583300.54375
9San Diego State0.69167400.53750
10TCU0.68229400.52344
11Wisconsin0.67639300.51458
12Wake Forest0.67222400.50833
13Penn State0.67014400.50521
14Minnesota0.66944300.50417
15Florida0.66713210.66736
16Oklahoma0.66354400.49531
17Washington0.66076400.49115
18South Florida0.65604400.48406
19Memphis0.65108300.47662
20Notre Dame0.64792310.59687
21Miami (FL)0.63958200.45938
22Iowa0.63715310.58073
23Kentucky0.63669310.58003
24Louisville0.63472310.57708
25Washington State0.63160400.44740
26Mississippi State0.62917310.56875
27Utah0.62757400.44135
28Duke0.62708400.44063
29South Carolina0.61875310.55312
30Virginia Tech0.61736400.42604
31Ohio State0.61181310.54271
32California0.61007310.54010
33Texas-San Antonio0.60139300.40208
34Illinois0.60000210.56667
35Vanderbilt0.59792310.52187
36Southern Methodist0.59653310.51979
37Virginia0.59514310.51771
38Louisiana State0.59271310.51406
39Maryland0.59136210.55370
40Oregon0.59063310.51094
41Oklahoma State0.58993310.50990
42Colorado0.58924310.50885
43North Carolina State0.58785310.50677
44Arizona State0.58623220.62934
45Indiana0.57654210.53148
46Houston0.57654210.53148
47Stanford0.56875220.60312
48Troy0.56806310.47708
49Tennessee0.56806310.47708
50Marshall0.56667210.51667
51Florida Int'l0.56389210.51250
52Purdue0.56285220.59427
53Iowa State0.56065210.50764
54Toledo0.55972310.46458
55Ohio0.55938310.46406
56Southern Miss0.55756210.50301
57Michigan State0.55602210.50069
58Cincinnati0.55069220.57604
59Auburn0.54977310.44965
60West Virginia0.54965310.44948
61Texas A&M0.54687310.44531
62Appalachian State0.54583220.56875
63Boise State0.54410220.56615
64UCLA0.54051220.56076
65Tulane0.53681220.55521
66Mississippi0.53426210.46806
67Northern Illinois0.53380210.46736
68Louisiana Tech0.53264220.54896
69Georgia Tech0.53194210.46458
70Middle Tennessee0.52743220.54115
71Colorado State0.52569220.53854
72North Texas0.52569220.53854
73Army0.52396220.53594
74Boston College0.52153130.65729
75Utah State0.52063220.53094
76Western Michigan0.51250220.51875
77Air Force0.51204120.60139
78Wyoming0.51181220.51771
79Western Kentucky0.50833220.51250
80Buffalo0.50660220.50990
81Texas0.50651120.59310
82Kansas State0.50648210.42639
83Eastern Michigan0.50417210.42292
84Northwestern0.50185210.41944
85Fresno State0.50046120.58403
86Temple0.49896220.49844
87Miami (OH)0.49618220.49427
88Ball State0.49444220.49167
89Nebraska0.49444220.49167
90New Mexico State0.49167220.48750
91Connecticut0.49028110.48542
92Syracuse0.48750220.48125
93Arizona0.48542220.47813
94Arkansas0.48102120.55486
95North Carolina0.47882130.59323
96New Mexico0.47500220.46250
97Kent State0.46806130.57708
98Old Dominion0.46701220.45052
99Louisiana-Monroe0.46265120.52731
100Brigham Young0.46215130.56823
101Central Michigan0.46076220.44115
102Hawaii0.45660220.43490
103Idaho0.45590220.43385
104Florida Atlantic0.45521130.55781
105Oregon State0.45451130.55677
106Pittsburgh0.44861130.54792
107Alabama-Birmingham0.44722220.42083
108Missouri0.44479130.54219
109Akron0.44444130.54167
110Arkansas State0.44259120.49722
111Texas St-San Marcos0.44028130.53542
112UNLV0.43565120.48681
113San José State0.43398140.55097
114Rice0.43194130.52292
115Florida State0.42917020.64375
116Rutgers0.42569130.51354
117Kansas0.40868130.48802
118Tulsa0.40590130.48385
119South Alabama0.40278130.47917
120Georgia State0.39861120.43125
121Louisiana-Lafayette0.38171130.44757
122Baylor0.37500040.56250
123East Carolina0.35833030.53750
124Coastal Carolina0.34722120.35417
125Nevada0.34167040.51250
126Georgia Southern0.33380030.50069
127UTEP0.32917040.49375
128Bowling Green0.32049040.48073
129Massachusetts0.29889050.44833
130UNC-Charlotte0.29028040.43542

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.