Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2019-10-12:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Ohio State0.71644600.57466
2Louisiana State0.68978600.53467
3Clemson0.68902600.53353
4Wisconsin0.68799600.53199
5Auburn0.68677510.61349
6Boise State0.68223600.52335
7Alabama0.67998600.51996
8Penn State0.67315600.50972
9Southern Methodist0.67035600.50553
10Appalachian State0.66614500.49921
11Oklahoma0.66111600.49167
12Baylor0.66105600.49157
13Oregon0.65375510.56396
14Cincinnati0.64272510.54742
15Florida0.64146610.53362
16Minnesota0.64057600.46086
17Notre Dame0.64043510.54398
18Arizona State0.62632510.52281
19Michigan0.62491510.52070
20Navy0.62222410.53333
21Wake Forest0.62009510.51347
22Memphis0.61246510.50202
23Texas0.61204420.58472
24Missouri0.60995510.49825
25Georgia0.60913510.49702
26Tulane0.60556510.49167
27Temple0.59903510.48188
28Louisville0.59753420.56296
29Michigan State0.59572430.60786
30Iowa0.59272420.55575
31Washington0.59191520.53073
32California0.58814420.54888
33Hawaii0.58686420.54696
34Pittsburgh0.58364420.54213
35Air Force0.58312420.54135
36Iowa State0.58296420.54111
37Florida State0.58025330.62037
38Virginia0.57897420.53512
39Florida Atlantic0.57734420.53267
40San Diego State0.57683510.44858
41Arizona0.57535420.52970
42Louisiana Tech0.57244510.44200
43Utah0.57099510.43981
44Central Florida0.56958420.52103
45Duke0.56909420.52030
46Oklahoma State0.56788420.51849
47North Carolina0.56625330.59938
48North Carolina State0.56548420.51488
49Utah State0.56164320.54246
50Louisiana-Lafayette0.56160420.50907
51Colorado0.55631330.58446
52Nevada0.55624420.50103
53Indiana0.55520420.49946
54Mississippi State0.55338330.58007
55South Carolina0.55322330.57983
56Wyoming0.55265420.49563
57TCU0.55222320.52833
58Kansas State0.55185320.52778
59Western Kentucky0.54330420.48161
60Texas A&M0.54290330.56435
61Georgia State0.54002420.47670
62Alabama-Birmingham0.53907510.39193
63USC0.53878330.55817
64Southern Miss0.53872420.47475
65Nebraska0.53828430.52171
66West Virginia0.53483330.55225
67Stanford0.53258330.54888
68Western Michigan0.52966430.50877
69Toledo0.52900420.46017
70Kent State0.52734330.54101
71Miami (FL)0.52649330.53974
72Texas Tech0.52445330.53668
73Kentucky0.52297330.53446
74Virginia Tech0.52187420.44947
75Syracuse0.52120330.53179
76Liberty0.51710420.44232
77Maryland0.51464330.52196
78Louisiana-Monroe0.51265330.51898
79Tulsa0.51175240.60096
80Arkansas State0.50893330.51340
81Army0.50586330.50880
82South Florida0.50578330.50866
83Georgia Southern0.50185230.55278
84Mississippi0.50004340.53577
85Marshall0.49907330.49861
86Central Michigan0.49711430.45995
87Boston College0.49577330.49365
88Ball State0.49303330.48955
89Miami (OH)0.49227240.57174
90Purdue0.49191240.57120
91East Carolina0.49160330.48741
92Florida Int'l0.48580330.47870
93Washington State0.48328330.47492
94San José State0.47998330.46997
95Middle Tennessee0.47932240.55231
96Coastal Carolina0.47886330.46829
97Eastern Michigan0.47773330.46659
98Brigham Young0.47310240.54299
99Bowling Green0.47278240.54250
100Texas St-San Marcos0.47134240.54034
101Houston0.47130240.54028
102Tennessee0.47121240.54015
103Fresno State0.47047230.50570
104North Texas0.46243240.52698
105UNC-Charlotte0.46127240.52524
106Kansas0.45959240.52272
107Oregon State0.45675240.51845
108Buffalo0.45622240.51766
109Northwestern0.44544140.56816
110Troy0.44492230.46738
111UNLV0.44167240.49583
112Illinois0.44056240.49418
113Ohio0.43677240.48849
114UCLA0.43302150.56620
115Texas-San Antonio0.43049240.47907
116Georgia Tech0.42994150.56157
117Arkansas0.42478240.47050
118Colorado State0.42066250.48813
119Northern Illinois0.41808240.46045
120New Mexico0.41446240.45502
121Vanderbilt0.40935150.53069
122Rice0.40132060.60198
123Rutgers0.40049150.51739
124South Alabama0.39919150.51545
125UTEP0.39741140.49611
126Connecticut0.39546150.50985
127Old Dominion0.39444150.50833
128New Mexico State0.34299070.51448
129Massachusetts0.33250160.42732
130Akron0.29632060.44447

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.