Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2018-10-20:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Clemson0.71088700.56633
2Notre Dame0.70859700.56289
3Louisiana State0.68596710.59144
4Alabama0.68473800.52710
5Oklahoma0.66932610.57541
6Michigan0.66920710.56630
7Florida0.65565610.55490
8Georgia0.65530610.55438
9North Carolina State0.65444510.56499
10Texas0.65365610.55191
11Kentucky0.64474610.53854
12Iowa0.63900610.52992
13Central Florida0.63821700.45732
14Stanford0.63230520.59131
15Texas A&M0.62382520.57859
16South Florida0.62117700.43175
17San Diego State0.61631610.49590
18Ohio State0.61625710.48688
19Washington0.61175620.54262
20West Virginia0.60965510.49781
21Utah0.60958520.55722
22Buffalo0.60458710.46937
23Alabama-Birmingham0.60423610.47778
24Army0.60280520.54706
25Washington State0.60232610.47491
26Virginia0.60179520.54554
27Duke0.60070520.54391
28Appalachian State0.59650510.47809
29Cincinnati0.59437610.46299
30Georgia Southern0.59203610.45947
31Penn State0.59177520.53051
32Miami (FL)0.59084520.52911
33Fresno State0.58825610.45381
34Utah State0.58670610.45149
35Wisconsin0.58330520.51781
36Syracuse0.58174520.51546
37Texas Tech0.58013520.51305
38Boston College0.57769520.50939
39Mississippi State0.57648430.57901
40Houston0.57515610.43415
41South Carolina0.57401330.61101
42USC0.57236430.57283
43Boise State0.57233520.50135
44Auburn0.57194530.54542
45Colorado0.56674520.49297
46Western Michigan0.56574620.47361
47Mississippi0.56504530.53506
48Michigan State0.56490430.56164
49Oregon0.56366520.48835
50Iowa State0.56166330.59250
51Virginia Tech0.56135420.50869
52North Texas0.56125620.46688
53Louisiana Tech0.56068520.48387
54Troy0.55664520.47782
55Maryland0.55347430.54450
56Missouri0.55337430.54433
57Florida Int'l0.54998520.46782
58Hawaii0.54927620.44890
59Marshall0.54838520.46542
60Purdue0.54742430.53542
61Northwestern0.54429430.53072
62Temple0.54315530.50223
63Northern Illinois0.53983430.52403
64Brigham Young0.53946430.52347
65Indiana0.53599440.55398
66Middle Tennessee0.53595430.51821
67Florida State0.53593430.51818
68Baylor0.53548430.51751
69TCU0.53216340.58395
70Coastal Carolina0.53108430.51090
71Arkansas State0.52989430.50912
72Vanderbilt0.52249350.59623
73Oklahoma State0.52110430.49594
74Eastern Michigan0.51756440.52634
75Tennessee0.51611340.55988
76Pittsburgh0.51268340.55473
77Wake Forest0.51238340.55429
78Liberty0.51158430.48166
79Arizona State0.50791340.54759
80Southern Methodist0.50192340.53859
81Ohio0.49766430.46078
82Kansas State0.49656340.53056
83Minnesota0.49623340.53006
84Georgia Tech0.49533340.52871
85California0.49389430.45512
86Florida Atlantic0.49368340.52623
87Louisiana-Monroe0.49297440.48946
88Akron0.48604330.47906
89Toledo0.48047340.50642
90Memphis0.48037440.47056
91UCLA0.47978250.57681
92Louisiana-Lafayette0.47751340.50198
93Southern Miss0.47269330.45904
94Illinois0.46777340.48737
95Arizona0.46713350.51319
96Nevada0.46390340.48156
97Air Force0.46297340.48017
98Miami (OH)0.45938350.50156
99UNC-Charlotte0.45883340.47396
100New Mexico0.45369340.46624
101Colorado State0.45271350.49157
102Georgia State0.44997250.53210
103Tulane0.44739250.52823
104Arkansas0.44683260.54525
105Louisville0.44290250.52149
106Wyoming0.43902260.53353
107Massachusetts0.43679260.53019
108Ball State0.43557350.46586
109Nebraska0.43469160.58060
110East Carolina0.43431250.50861
111South Alabama0.42532250.49512
112Navy0.42317250.49190
113Connecticut0.42136160.56061
114Texas-San Antonio0.41739350.43858
115Kansas0.41675250.48227
116North Carolina0.41570150.54021
117Old Dominion0.40941260.48912
118Tulsa0.40818160.54084
119UNLV0.40598250.46612
120New Mexico State0.40584260.48376
121Central Michigan0.38700170.51800
122Rutgers0.37996170.50744
123Oregon State0.37809160.49571
124Rice0.37707170.50310
125Bowling Green0.37594170.50140
126San José State0.36613070.54919
127Kent State0.36231170.48097
128Western Kentucky0.34703160.44912
129Texas St-San Marcos0.33963160.43802
130UTEP0.30379070.45568

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.